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Opinion

Blood And Borders

Blood, blood, blood all over Africa but, I ask, when will it end?

Over the weekend the people of Jos and some villages nearby were arranging for the burial of  14 more people killed in the long-running ethno-religious crisis in Nigeria’s north-central  region.

The total number of people slain in the past year tops 1,000, with many more injured.

I won’t mention trouble-spots like Sudan, Niger, Somalia and the whole of central Africa, but  focus on Ivory Coast as senior Nigerian government officials are seeking crucial international  support for the use of military force to resolve the seemingly intractable political and  electoral crisis there. Lesotho, which is ethnically homogeneous, is relatively peaceful.

You may remember that President Laurent Gbagbo and his political foe President-elect Alassane  Ouattara are entrenched in a fierce battle over the result of the 28 November 2010 election.

The electoral agency declared Mr Ouattara the winner but Mr Gbagbo will not step down.

It is not as if Mr Gbagbo’s action constitutes a grave crime akin to the imposition of the  death penalty on poor Ivorians – the poor and helpless are always the victims when their  rulers belch – but his peers on the continent are apparently seething with anger at not only  his stubbornness but also his naivety in allowing an opponent to win an election.

Therefore West African leaders have declared that Mr Gbagbo must quit office for Mr Ouattara  or face the bombardment of his palace and wherever else he may be suspected to be holed up.

Other African countries are likely to see their own future in the current political crisis in  Ivory Coast.

Mr Gbagbo represents the interests of the Akan people in the southern part of the country who,  though a minority, regard themselves as the anointed rulers of the country and they cannot  imagine a northerner occupying the presidential palace.

Mr Ouattara is a northerner. Southerners do not accept northerners as true Ivorians. The  problem of Ivory Coast is that simple: North versus south.

Mr Gbagbo probably knows that if he gives up power now, his Akan people may never taste it  again.

Other African leaders know it but they won’t talk about it for fear of bringing the ghosts in  their own lockers back to life.

A basic principle of AU is that all countries must retain colonial borders. To my mind,  however, that ethnic sentiment is nothing to be ashamed of.

According to some social scientists it is a basic human tendency for people to move with their  own kind. The most stable countries in the world are those that are either ethnically  homogeneous or have federal systems.

Multi-ethnic European states like Switzerland ward off internal conflict through a strict  federal system which gives autonomy to every group.

Spain is still trying to solve the problem posed by its restive Catalans; the UK is gradually  becoming an apostle of devolution.

Thus homogeneity and federalism in member countries make the European Union stable.

On the other hand African leaders are trying to build an African Union (AU) on the foundation  of colonial borders.

A basic principle of the AU is that all countries must retain the borders they inherited at  independence.

The principle is under great stress. This is why there are wars all over the place.

The only countries which have no such problem, to my knowledge, are Botswana, Swaziland and  Lesotho – and that’s because they are ethnically homogeneous.

Take away the strong Afrikaner influence and you will be able to predict how long it will take  even the giant South Africa to begin to collapse.

Current borders on the continent are colonial and against all human tendencies; they will  remain the source of bloody conflicts until leaders of vision and strength emerge to change  them.

I commend to all the commonsense in last week’s statement by Kenyan Prime Minister Raila  Odinga – the failed AU mediator on Ivory Coast – who said that mediation efforts should not be  about imposing democracy and free and fair elections but about “avoiding a much greater  disaster”.

I tell you, I would rather have justice than free elections.

•Odunfa wrote this article for the BBC

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