IMF declares support for Tinubu's exchange rate policy

Tinubu

Nigeria's President, Bola Ahmed Tinubu

The International Monetary Fund, IMF has declared support for the move by the President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s administration to unify the country’s exchange rate.

The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) on Wednesday introduced a floating exchange rate system in the foreign exchange market by giving traders at the Import and Export (I&E) window the freedom in the exchange rate determination.

With the development, buyers and sellers of foreign currency in the official FX market are now allowed to quote rates they find comfortable in the FX market. This was in line with the promise by President Tinubu that he will unify the country’s exchange rate during his inauguration speech on 29 May.

The IMF, in a statement issued on behalf of its Resident Representative in Nigeria, Ari Aisen, on Friday expressed support for the move by the Tinubu’s government. It also pledge its support for the Tinubu government for the success of the foreign exchange reforms.

The IMF, in the short statement said, “The Fund greatly welcomes the authorities’ decision to introduce a unified market-reflective exchange rate regime in line with our long-standing recommendations.

“We stand ready to support the new administration in its implementation of FX reforms.”

The Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprise (CPPE) has earlier commended the bold step by President Bola Tinubu led administration toward the unification of the Naira exchange rate.

Dr Muda Yusuf, founder, CPPE, in a statement on Wednesday in Lagos, said the development would unlock the huge potential for investment, jobs and capital flows and engender investors confidence.

Yusuf, however, emphasised the need for government to clarify that the exchange rate unification was not Naira devaluation policy.

He described it as a pricing mechanism that reflects the demand and supply fundamentals in the foreign exchange market and allows for flexible rate adjustments as and when necessary.

“It is a model that is predictable, equitable, transparent and sustainable and a policy regime that would reduce uncertainty and inspire the confidence of investors.

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“It would minimise discretion and arbitrage in the foreign exchange allocation mechanism.

“Rate unification does not imply that rates will be exactly the same in all segments of the market.

“The objective is to ensure that the differentials are very minimal, possibly between five and 10 per cent,” he said.

He listed the benefits of the unified exchange rate regime to include enhanced liquidity in the foreign exchange market, reduced uncertainty, more transparency, and boost of government revenue by a minimum of four trillion Naira.

Yusuf added that the development would lead to the restoration of use of Naira cards for limited international transactions in the short to medium term.

“The erstwhile foreign exchange policy regime on the other hand, was for all practical purposes, a fixed exchange rate regime and created distortions and negative outcomes.

“In the short term, we expect a depreciation of the currency in the official window because of the huge demand backlog but as the market conditions normalises and moves toward equilibrium, the rate would moderate.

“We also expect the new policy regime to boost inflows and strengthen the supply side amidst elevated investors’ confidence.

“The component of foreign exchange demand driven by arbitrage, rent seekers, speculators and other economic parasites would also fizzle out, thus restoring stability to the market.

“However, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) should position itself for periodic intervention in the market, as and when necessary, to stabilise the exchange rate and prevent volatility.

“This should happen not by fixing rate, but by boosting supply to the extent that the reserves can support,” he said.

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